Mlozerawu udakali m'gawo lokulitsa, koma osati mochulukira. Makamaka zomangira ( zitsulo zachitsulo, zomangira zitsulo zosapanga dzimbiri, zomangira za Titaniyamu)
FCH Sourcing Network inanena kuti Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) ya mwezi wa Januwale pa Feb. 6, kusonyeza kuyamba kofooka kwa chaka ndi miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yomwe ikupitirizabe kuchepa mu chiyembekezo.
FDI ya mwezi watha idawonetsa kuwerenga kwa 52,7, kutsika ndi mfundo 3.5 kuyambira Disembala, ndi index yotsika kwambiri kuyambira Seputembara 2020's 52.0.Inali idakali m'gawo lokulitsa, monga kuwerenga kulikonse pamwamba pa 50.0 kumasonyeza kukula kwa msika, koma mwezi wina wochepetsera pafupi ndi kusweka.
FDI yakhala ikukulira mwezi uliwonse kuyambira Seputembara 2020, posachedwapa ikufika pa 61.8 Meyi watha ndipo yakhala ikuchitika mu 50s kuyambira Juni 2021.
Pakadali pano, index's Forward-Looking-Indicator (FLI) - avareji ya omwe amayembekeza omwe adayankha pamisika yamtsogolo yamsika - idatsika mwachisanu molunjika.FLI ya Januwale ya 62.8 inali kutsika kwa 0.9-point kuchokera mu December ndipo imakhalabe yotsika kwambiri kuchokera ku zowerengedwa pamwamba pa 70 zomwe zawonedwa m'chaka ndi chilimwe cha 2021. Zakhala mu 60s kuyambira September 2021.
Ndi 33 peresenti yokha ya omwe adafunsidwa ndi FDI's fastener distributor kafukufuku adawonetsa kuti akuyembekezera kuchuluka kwa zochitika m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi poyerekeza ndi lero, kutsika kuchokera pa 44 peresenti omwe adanenanso zomwezo mu Disembala.57 peresenti amayembekezera ntchito yofanana, pamene 10 peresenti amayembekezera ntchito zapamwamba.Zasintha kwambiri kuyambira theka loyamba la 2021, pomwe 72 peresenti ya omwe adafunsidwa adati akuyembekeza kuchita zambiri.
Ponseponse, ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zikuwonetsa mwezi woyipa kwambiri kwa omwe amagawa mwachangu kuposa Disembala, pomwe zomwe zidanenedweratu zamsika zidawonetsanso kuchepa pang'ono kwa chiyembekezo.
"Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) yosinthidwa nyengo ya Januwale inali yofewa pang'ono m/m pa 52.7, ngakhale kuti kuwongolera pang'ono kunkawoneka m'ma metrics ambiri;kusintha kwa nyengo kumachepetsa zotsatira chifukwa Januwale nthawi zambiri amakhala mwezi wamphamvu kwambiri pachaka, "atero katswiri wa RW Baird David Manthey, CFA, ponena za kuwerengedwa kwaposachedwa kwa FDI."Ndemanga yoyankhayo ikuwonetsa kutopa kwamakasitomala mkati mwa kubweretsa zinthu kosasinthika komanso nthawi zotsogola.The Forward-Looking Indicator (FLI) inali yofewa modzichepetsa, ikubwera pa 62.8, chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa zinthu zosungiramo zinthu komanso kusakhala ndi chiyembekezo kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi.Net, tikukhulupirira kuti msika wachangu udali wokhazikika mu Disembala pomwe kufunikira kwamphamvu komwe kukulemedwa ndi zovuta zomwe zimapitilirabe. ”
Manthey anawonjezera kuti, "Komabe, kupitiliza kufunidwa kwakukulu / kubweza kumbuyo komanso nthawi yayitali yotsogolera, tikukhulupirira kuti FDI ikhoza kukhalabe pakukula kwanthawi yayitali."
Mwa ma index asanu ndi awiri a FDI kupatula FLI, asanu adawona kuchepa kwa mwezi ndi mwezi komwe kumakokera pamndandanda wonse.Chofunika kwambiri, chiwerengero cha malonda osasinthika chinatsika ndi mfundo za 11.2 kuyambira December mpaka chizindikiro cha 64.5 patatha miyezi iwiri yowongoka pakati pa 70s.Supplier Deliveries inagwa mfundo zisanu ndi zitatu ku 71.7 (miyezi 14 yotsika);Zolemba Zoyankha zidagwa mfundo za 5.2 ku 41.7 (miyezi 5 yotsika);Mitengo ya Mwezi ndi Mwezi inagwa 4.2 mfundo ku 81.7 (miyezi 11 yotsika);ndipo Mitengo ya Chaka ndi Chaka idatsika ndi mfundo 1.9 kufika pa 95.0.
Kupititsa patsogolo mu Januwale kunali Ntchito, mpaka 0.3 mfundo mpaka 55.0;ndi Customer Inventories, mpaka 2.7 point mpaka 18.3.
"Ngakhale ma metric ambiri adachita bwino, nyengo zakale zikadakhala kuti zikuyenda bwino, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti index ya FDI ikhale yozizira kwambiri kuyambira Disembala," adatero Manthey."Mitengo inalinso yocheperako poyerekeza ndi Disembala, ngakhale izi zitha kuwonedwa bwino chifukwa zimapatsa omwe akuyankha nthawi yochulukirapo kuti awonjezere kuchuluka kwa omwe adapereka kale kwa makasitomala.Mayankho amakasitomala amakhala abwino (makasitomala ali otanganidwa), koma ndemanga ikuwonetsa kutopa / kukhumudwa kumatha kukhazikika mkati mwa kuchepa kwa zinthu, kubweretsa kwautali kwanthawi yayitali komanso nthawi yayitali yotsogolera. "
Manthe adawonanso kuti Januwale adanenanso kwa nthawi yoyamba kuti vutoli likhoza kukhudza malingaliro a makasitomala komanso / kapena zisankho zatsopano za polojekiti.Adagawana nawo ndemanga zingapo zosadziwika kuchokera ku kafukufuku wa FDI wa Januware:
-“Madongosolo amakasitomala amakhala osokonekera chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa zinthu zosiyanasiyana.Kutumiza kwa ma suppliers ndi nthawi zotsogola kumakhalabe cholepheretsa kukula kwa malonda komanso kuyambitsa kwatsopano pulogalamu. ”
-“Makasitomala ali otanganidwa komanso otopa.Iwo akuvutika kuti apitirizebe.”
"Mwachiwonekere, chinthu china cha kutopa / kukhumudwa chikukhazikika pakati pa makasitomala," adatero Manthey."Ziyenera kuyang'ana ngati izi zingakhudze zofuna zamtsogolo, ngakhale mpaka pano sizinachitike."
Nthawi yotumiza: Mar-03-2022