Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻālohilohi, ua hoʻomaikaʻi iki ka nānā ʻana o nā mahina ʻeono.
Ua hoʻokumu ʻo FCH Sourcing Network's Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) i kahi moʻolelo haʻahaʻa hou i ka wā o ʻApelila ma waena o nā hopena ʻino mai ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19, e hōʻeha ana i ka hōʻailona haʻahaʻa loa i ka mōʻaukala makahiki ʻeiwa.
ʻO ka FDI - i hoʻokele ʻia e FCH ma ka hui pū ʻana me RW Baird - hōʻike ʻo ʻApelila i hoʻopaʻa inoa i kahi heluhelu i hoʻoponopono ʻia i ka manawa o 40.0, e hōʻemi ana i nā helu 4.4 mai Malaki, i hoʻopaʻa ʻia no ka papa haʻahaʻa mua.
No ka papa kuhikuhi, ʻo ka heluhelu ʻana ma luna o 50.0 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana, akā ʻo nā mea ma lalo o 50.0 e hōʻike ana i ka ʻoki.
Ma ka ʻaoʻao maikaʻi, ʻo ka FDI's forward-looking-indicator (FLI) - e ana ana i nā manaʻo o ka poʻe hoʻolaha i ka manaʻo no nā kūlana mākeke paʻa e hiki mai ana - ua hōʻike i kekahi mau hōʻailona o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana ma o ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i 2.9 mau helu i 36.2
"ʻO ka ʻupena, ua nāwaliwali loa nā kūlana, akā nā manaʻolana no ka wehe hou ʻana o ka ʻoihana i loaʻa i kekahi poʻe hui e hilinaʻi iki ana ma mua o ka wā ma mua," wahi a RW Baird analyst David Manthey, CFA, e pili ana i ka FDI ʻApelila.
Ua hoʻokomo ʻia ka papa kuhikuhi o ʻApelila i kahi kikoʻī kūʻai i hoʻoponopono ʻia i ka wā i lawe ʻia i kahi 20.6 point nosedive mai Malaki a i kahi hōʻailona paltry o 14.0, i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 54.9 ʻelua mau mahina ma mua.Hōʻike ka papa kuhikuhi kūʻai aku i nā kūlana kūʻai aku ʻo ʻApelila ma kahi ʻoi loa i nā manawa a pau ma ka mōʻaukala makahiki ʻeiwa.
Ua hōʻike ka index i ka hoʻolimalima ʻana o ʻApelila, ʻoiai ma kahi haʻahaʻa.ʻO ka heluhelu hana o ʻApelila o 26.8 kokoke i Malaki 27.0.Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Manthey ʻaʻole i ʻike ʻia kahi mea noiʻi FDI i nā pae kiʻekiʻe o ka hana i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā manaʻolana o ke kau no ka mahina ʻelua-pololei a ʻo ka 46 pākēneka i hōʻike ʻia ka hana ma lalo o nā manaʻo - ʻo ia ka pakeneka kiʻekiʻe loa ma ka mōʻaukala noiʻi.
Ma nā anana FDI ʻē aʻe o ʻApelila:
- Ua hoʻonui ʻia ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā mea hoʻolako 8.1 mau helu mai Malaki a 76.8
- Ua hoʻonui ʻia nā mea pane pane i nā helu 3.4 mai Malaki a i 68.3
- Ua hoʻokuʻu nā mea kūʻai aku i ka helu 1 i ka 47.6
- Ua lele ke kumu kūʻai o kēlā me kēia mahina i 9.8 mau helu mai Malaki a 59.8
- Ua hoʻomaikaʻi ke kumu kūʻai o kēlā me kēia makahiki he 6.3 mau helu mai Malaki a 67.1
Ke nānā nei i nā pae hana i manaʻo ʻia i nā mahina ʻeono e hiki mai ana, hōʻike ka manaʻo i kahi manaʻo pessimistic, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o Malaki:
-54 pākēneka o ka poʻe pane e manaʻo i ka hana haʻahaʻa i nā mahina ʻeono e hiki mai ana (73 pākēneka i Malaki)
-34 pakeneka manaʻo i ka hana kiʻekiʻe (16 pakeneka i Malaki)
-12 pakeneka manaʻo i ka hana like (Malaki 11 pakeneka)
Ua hōʻike ʻo Baird i ka haʻahaʻa o ka ʻōlelo pane a FDI, akā manaʻo kekahi e pili ana i nā kūlana e hiki mai ana.ʻO nā hua'ōlelo pane i loaʻa i kēia mau mea:
- "Ua nalowale mākou i ka 80 pakeneka o kā mākou kūʻai.ʻAʻole e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi inā hoʻomau mākou i ka [maluhia ma kahi] no ka mea ua pani ʻia ka hapa nui o kā mākou mea kūʻai.ʻO ka poʻe i wehe ʻia he mau hana i ʻae ʻia e hana i kēia manawa. "
- "Ke manaʻolana nei mākou no ka hana kiʻekiʻe ke hāpai ʻia ka noho ʻana ma nā kauoha home."
- "Ua emi iho nā kūʻai aku o ʻApelila he 14 pakeneka.Manaʻo wau e piʻi iki paha ʻo Mei no ka mea e wehe mālie ana nā ʻoihana. "
- "ʻOiai me ka wehe ʻana o kekahi mau mokuʻāina, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana i nā pae maʻamau aʻu e manaʻo nei e lohi.
Ke hoʻāʻo nei kekahi mau mea hana e hoʻōla mai 2 mau wahi lohi ma mua o ka maʻi maʻi.
E ʻike i ka palapala piha FDI ʻApelila ma lalo nei:
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Mei-28-2020