Aia ka papa kuhikuhi ma ka ʻāina hoʻonui, akā ʻaʻole i ka nui. ʻOi aku ka nui o ka wili ( nā wili kila, nā wili kila ʻole, nā wili Titanium)
Ua hōʻike aku ʻo FCH Sourcing Network i kāna Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) no ka mahina o Ianuali ma Feb.
Ua hōʻike ʻo FDI i ka mahina i hala i ka heluhelu ʻana o 52.7, ma lalo o 3.5 mau helu mai Dekemaba, a me ka hōʻailona haʻahaʻa loa mai ka mahina ʻo Kepakemapa 2020's 52.0.Aia nō ia ma ka ʻāina hoʻonui, no ka mea, ʻo ka heluhelu ʻana ma luna o 50.0 e hōʻike ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka mākeke, akā ʻoi aku ka mahina deceleration kokoke i ka breakeven.
Aia ka FDI i ka ʻāina hoʻonui i kēlā me kēia mahina mai Kepakemapa 2020, ʻoi loa ka piʻi ʻana ma 61.8 i kēia Mei i hala a ua paʻa i ka 50s mai Iune 2021.
Eia nō naʻe, ʻo ka index's Forward-Looking-Indicator (FLI) - ka awelika o nā manaʻo o ka poʻe hoʻolaha i manaʻo no nā kūlana mākeke paʻa e hiki mai ana - ua emi ka lima.ʻO ka FLI o Ianuali o 62.8 he 0.9-helu ka emi ʻana mai Kekemapa a ke hoʻomau nei ka emi ʻana mai ka heluhelu ʻana ma luna o 70 i ʻike ʻia i ka pūnāwai a me ke kauwela o 2021. Aia ia i nā makahiki 60 mai Kepakemapa 2021.
ʻO 33 pakeneka wale nō o ka FDI's fastener distributor survey i hōʻike ʻia ke manaʻo nei lākou i ke kiʻekiʻe o ka hana i nā mahina ʻeono e hiki mai ana i kēia lā, mai ka 44 pakeneka ka poʻe i ʻōlelo like ma Dekemaba.Manaʻo ka 57 pakeneka i ka pae hana like, aʻo 10 pakeneka e manaʻo i ka hana kiʻekiʻe.He hoʻohuli nui ia mai ka hapa mua o 2021, i ka manawa i ʻōlelo ai ʻo 72 ka nui o nā mea pane e manaʻo nei lākou i ka hana kiʻekiʻe.
Ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka mahina ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka mahina ma mua o Dekemaba, ʻoiai ua ʻike ʻia nā kūlana mākeke i kahi emi iki o ka manaʻolana.
“Ua ʻoi aku ka palupalu o ka Index Fastener Distributor Index (FDI) i Ianuali ma ka 52.7, ʻoiai ua ʻike ʻia ka hoʻomaikaʻi haʻahaʻa i ka hapa nui o nā metric;ʻO ke kumu hoʻoponopono kau i hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā hopena no ka mea ʻo Ianuali ka mahina ikaika loa o ka makahiki no ka papa kuhikuhi, "wahi a RW Baird analyst David Manthey, CFA, e pili ana i nā heluhelu FDI hou loa."Ua kuhikuhi ka ʻōlelo pane i ka luhi o ka mea kūʻai aku ma waena o ka hāʻawi ʻana i nā mea hoʻolako hewa a me nā manawa alakaʻi.ʻOi aku ka palupalu o ka Hōʻailona Nānā Imua (FLI), e hele mai ana ma 62.8, ma muli o nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe o ka waihona a me ka nānā ʻana i nā mahina ʻeono.Net, ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou ua kūpaʻa nā kūlana mākeke paʻa me Kekemapa me ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka koi ikaika loa i hoʻemi ʻia e nā pilikia kaulahao hoʻomau.
Ua hoʻohui ʻo Manthey, "Akā, me ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka koi ikaika / backlog a me nā manawa alakaʻi lōʻihi, ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou e hiki ke noho ka FDI i ke ʻano ulu paʻa no kekahi manawa."
ʻO nā helu helu helu ʻehiku a FDI ma waho aʻe o ka FLI, ʻelima i ʻike i ka emi ʻana o kēlā me kēia mahina i kau ʻia ma ka papa kuhikuhi holoʻokoʻa.ʻO ka mea nui loa, ua hāʻule ka helu kūʻai kūʻai volatile i nā helu 11.2 mai Dekemaba i kahi hōʻailona o 64.5 ma hope o ʻelua mau mahina pololei i ka waena o 70s.Ua hāʻule nā mea hoʻolako i nā helu ʻewalu i 71.7 (14 mau mahina haʻahaʻa);Ua hāʻule ka Respondent Inventories i ka 5.2 points i ka 41.7 (5-mahina haʻahaʻa);Ua hāʻule ke kumu kūʻai o kēlā me kēia mahina i 4.2 mau helu i 81.7 (11 mau mahina haʻahaʻa);a ua hāʻule ke kumu kūʻai o kēlā me kēia makahiki he 1.9 mau helu i 95.0.
ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka mahina ʻo Ianuali he Employment, piʻi 0.3 mau helu i 55.0;a me nā mea kūʻai aku i nā mea kūʻai aku, piʻi i 2.7 mau helu i 18.3.
"ʻOiai ka nui o nā metric i hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka moʻolelo o ka wā kahiko i manaʻo ʻia e hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia, ʻo ia ka hopena o ka hōʻoluʻolu ʻana o ka FDI index mai ka wikiwiki o Dekemaba," wahi a Manthey."He ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ke kumukūʻai inā hoʻohālikelike ʻia me Kekemapa, ʻoiai hiki ke nānā maikaʻi ʻia kēia no ka mea e hāʻawi ana i ka poʻe pane i ka manawa hou e hāʻawi i ka piʻi ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku i nā mea kūʻai aku.Ua maikaʻi ka manaʻo o ka noi (ʻoihana nā mea kūʻai aku), akā ʻo ka ʻōlelo e hōʻike ana e hiki ke hoʻonā i ka luhi a me ka huhū i waena o nā hemahema waiwai, nā hāʻawi manawaleʻa lōʻihi a me nā manawa alakaʻi.
Ua ʻike pū ʻo Manthey ua ʻōlelo ʻo Ianuali no ka manawa mua e hiki i kēia conundrum ke hoʻopilikia i ka manaʻo o ka mea kūʻai aku a / a i ʻole nā hoʻoholo papahana hou.Ua kaʻana like ʻo ia i ʻelua mau ʻōlelo hoʻolaha inoa ʻole mai ka loiloi FDI o Ianuali:
– “Ke hoʻomau nei ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku ma muli o nā hemahema waiwai.ʻO ka hāʻawi ʻana o nā mea hoʻolako a me nā manawa alakaʻi he mea paʻa i ka ulu ʻana o ke kūʻai aku a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka papahana hou.
- "Ua luhi nā mea kūʻai aku a luhi.Paʻakikī lākou i ka mālama ʻana. "
"Akaka, ke noho nei kekahi mau mea o ka luhi a me ka huhū i waena o nā mea kūʻai aku," wahi a Manthey."E nānā ana inā pili kēia i ka noi e hiki mai ana, ʻoiai ʻaʻole i kēia manawa."
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Mar-03-2022